Featured Publications
Afghanistan Report: A Ten-Year Framework for the Future
Beyond Closing Guantanamo: Rebuilding a Transatlantic Partnership in International Law
Pakistan Report: Comprehensive U.S. Policy Needed
Council Highlights
Tensions Rise Between United States, Pakistan: Shuja Nawaz on NPR
Shuja Nawaz, director of the Atlantic Council's South Asia Center, spoke on NPR's Morning Edition . He shared his thoughts on the newly introduced House bill calling for $10 billion in "military aid and development assistance" to Pakistan over the next five years.
Somali Piracy and Terrorism
Atlantic Council senior advisor Harlan Ullman published "To the Shores of Tripoli" in UPI's Outside View, where he discusses the dangers of the ongoing piracy problem off the coast of Somalia.
NATO Modernization: A New Strategic Vision
Rafael L. Bardají, a Strategic Advisor to the Atlantic Council, and Manuel Coma published a study on NATO modernization for the Strategic Studies Group in Madrid. The report, entitled NATO 3.0: Ready for a New World, addresses the formation of a new strategic vision for the alliance.
FEATURED ISSUE
Achieving Peace and Security in Korea and Northeast Asia: A New U.S. Diplomatic Strategy toward North Korea
The Atlantic Council is pleased to release its Final Report of its three-year project on U.S. policy toward North Korea. This report makes clear that unless President Obama adopts a new strategy of seeking a comprehensive settlement in Korea, the U.S. is unlikely to eliminate North Korea’s nuclear program.
DONATE REGISTER
NIC Chairman Thomas Fingar Presents "Global Trends 2025"
November 20, 2008
Dr. Thomas Fingar, the Chairman of the National Intelligence Council (NIC), discussed the new report "Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World." The report analyzes the global situation 15 to 20 years in the future, touching on international security, political and social trends, globalization, and other transnational issues. Fingar's speech was the latest in the Atlantic Council's Global Intelligence Series.
Fingar said the purpose of the report was not to make concrete predictions, but rather to stimulate strategic thinking about how trends will evolve in the future. He stressed the importance of leadership, which is perhaps the most influential driver of future events and global interactions. Demography, Fingar said, is one of the more certain aspects about 2025. By that year, the world will have 1.4 billion more people, only 3 percent of whom will be from the West. Thus, Asia and the Middle East will be younger, while Europe, Japan, and even China manage aging populations.
Another major focus of Fingar's comments was the future of the international institutions established after World War II like the UN and IMF. He said that several of these institutions need to be reformed in order to effectively manage world crises and political relations, but many developing countries are unwilling or unable to take on a greater burden. Lastly, Fingar talked about terrorism in 2025, stating that the threat will probably be smaller in magnitude but more lethal in capability.
For further analysis of Fingar's discussion and the 2025 report, see "Predicting the Future is Hard - And Necessary" and "U.S. Dominance Ending" at the Council's blog.
Watch Video:
C-SPAN (52 minutes)
Read Transcript
Participants:
- Dr. Thomas Fingar – Chairman, National Intelligence Council
- Frederick Kempe – President and CEO, Atlantic Council
Related Event:
Related Commentary on New Atlanticist Blog:
- Predicting the Future is Hard - And Necessary – James Joyner
- U.S. Dominance Ending – James Joyner
- Terrorism Here Today, Gone Tomorrow? – James Joyner
- Asia's Ascendency Seen in Intelligence Forecast – Joseph Snyder
- Climate Change Will be More Severe in 2025 –Erica McCarthy
- Economic Rise of the East – James O'Connor
Media Coverage:
- By 2025, Analysts Say U.S. Won't Be World Power – Tom Gjelten, NPR "Morning Edition"
- NIC Chairman Thomas Fingar Presents "Global Trends 2025" – Baltische Rundschau (Lithuania)
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FEATURED EVENT
2009 Leadership Awards: Bush, Kohl, Petraeus, Palmisano, and Hampson
On April 29, the Atlantic Council will host its Annual Awards Dinner, celebrating two historic dates in transatlantic relations: the 60th anniversary of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall.
The Future of Afghanistan: A Conversation with Ashraf Ghani
On April 22, the South Asia Center of the Atlantic Council hosted former Afghan Minister of Finance Dr. Ashraf Ghani for a conversation on the future of Afghanistan. The Atlantic Council also unveiled its Afghanistan Report by Dr. Ghani, A Ten-Year Framework for Afghanistan: Executing the Obama Plan and Beyond.
FEATURED INTERVIEW
5 Questions for Robert Oakley
Robert Oakley served as U.S. ambassador to Zaire (1979-82), Somalia (1982-84), and Pakistan (1988-92) and as Special Envoy to Somali (1992-1994) and directed State's Office of Combatting Terrorism (1984-86). I had the opportunity to get his thoughts on some key issues of interest to the Atlantic Council community.
